After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 preferred for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which runs Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his last win in The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling at The Glen this past year and is listed at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen choices, you need to see exactly what SportsLine’s innovative computer version has to say.

The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has an established history in a number of sports. It also forces McClure’s DFS projections, that have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events like this have been in his blood, and his version was crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has already made several huge calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win in the KC Masterpiece 400. It also nailed five of the top 10 in Bristol and two of the top five in Daytona, just to mention a few. Anybody following its selections this year is way, way up.

Now the 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen area is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

1 surprising pick from the version for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, obtaining the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen chances to triumph at 6-1, doesn’t sniff the top 10. He is a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his stellar beginning position of third.

Elliott is still in search of the first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series triumph. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of the last seven starts, but was only 19th at Chicago and 34th in Daytona last month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest speed (124.520 miles ) in the final clinics for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the version says he is a favorite to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best chances at 4-1, doesn’t even finish in the top five.

He’s had plenty of success on street tracks, such as winning final year. But he is a risky pick at these chances because he’s got an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career and has finished 10th or worse in three of the past six races . There are better values out there in this Go Bowling in The Glen area.

Instead, the version is targeting two huge underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, including a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could hit it rich.

Read more: baseballgiantsmlb.com